魔鬼玩具盒:揭露和化解活尸恐怖分子

魔鬼玩具盒:揭露和化解活尸恐怖分子

魔鬼玩具盒:揭露和化解活尸恐怖分子
活尸技术是一种允许拥有普通资源、技能和智力的人执行过去只有政府、军队或拥有大量资源的机构才能执行的行动的技术。本质上,普罗米修斯技术允许用户制造自己的大规模杀伤性武器。
这些新兴技术的价格越来越便宜,也越来越容易获得,而且操作起来并不比卫星电视控制盒或智能手机复杂。尽管这些技术的前景非常可怕,但我们对这些危险了解得越多,我们就越能做好阻止它们的准备。
安德鲁·福克斯(Andrew Fox)在《魔鬼玩具盒》(The Devil’s Toy Box)中展示了70年来先发制人的分析,并表明,虽然国土安全部深入探讨了世界面临的可能的活尸威胁,但它未能预测最有可能的袭击。利用虚构的场景,Fox教授如何预测未来的威胁,以及如何预测未来五到十年内哪些威胁可能会被坏人使用。然后,他结合国土安全专家的技能和投机小说作家的想象力,提供了一种分析方法来阻止、反击或消除这些威胁,而不是采取听天由命的态度。
The Devil’s Toy Box: Exposing and Defusing Promethean Terrorists
A Promethean technology is one that allows someone of average resources, skills, and intelligence to carry out actions that were once only doable by governments, militaries, or institutions with considerable resources. Essentially, Promethean technologies allow users to create their own weapons of mass destruction.
These emerging technologies are increasingly affordable and accessible—and are no more complicated to operate than a satellite TV control box or a smart phone. Although these technologies are a terrifying prospect, the more we know about these dangers, the better we can prepare to head them off.
In The Devil’s Toy Box, Andrew Fox lays out seven decades of preemptive analysis and shows that while homeland security has explored, in depth, the possible Promethean threats the world faces, it has failed to forecast the most likely attacks. Using fictional scenarios Fox teaches how to predict future threats and how to forecast which ones are likely to be used by bad actors within the next five to ten years. Combining the skills of homeland security experts and the imaginations of speculative fiction writers, he then offers an analytical method to deter, counter, or abate these threats, rather than adopting an attitude of resigned fatalism.

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