系列:能源管理培训计划专著系列
本文介绍了不可再生能源分析中使用的基本概念。Petrick博士从预期发现的现值、勘探效率和预算过程等方面解释了勘探过程,强调了旨在帮助避免“赌徒破产”和帮助有效使用勘探资金的目标和战略。科罗拉多州的一个野猫油气勘探案例说明了石油评估的基本原理,包括储量计算和发现的预期价值。北海埃科菲斯克油田的发现史是大规模石油开发阶段的一个例子,包括融资和成本评估。文中还介绍了哥伦比亚Cerrejon项目的讨论和案例。Petrick博士以成本估算一章作为结束,阐明了矿产和燃料项目按数量级估算成本时使用的概念。
Energy Resource Assessment
Series: Energy Management Training Program Monograph Series
The basic concepts utilized in analysis of non-renewable energy resources are presented in this study. Dr. Petrick explains the process of exploration in terms of the present value of expected discoveries, efficiency in exploration, and the budgeting process, stressing objectives and strategies designed to help avoid “gambler’s ruin” and aid in the efficient spending of exploration dollars. The case of a wildcat oil-gas prospect in Colorado illustrates the fundamentals of petroleum evaluation, including calculation of reserves and the expected value of discovery. The history of the Ekofisk discovery in the North Sea serves as an example of the stages of large-scale petroleum development, including financing and cost evaluation. Discussions and a case history of the Cerrejon project in Colombia are also given. Dr. Petrick closes with a chapter on cost estimation, clarifying the concepts used in order-of-magnitude cost estimation of minerals and fuels projects.
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